Banks Disappear In Economic
Weakness
To paraphrase President Obama, "I took my eye off the [real
economic] ball." For that I apologize to Rant readers.
While trying to keep up with the messes scattered by this
Administration--Benghazi, NSA, IRS, Syria, monetization of the debt, etc.--I
took my eye off the economic ball. Today the oversight is rectified.
Despite the volumes of positive news coming from the markets, you must
remember the markets no longer reflect the state of the economy but the state of
DC.
The markets were supported by DC and thus expect Washington to continue
that support for their reckless gambles and the inevitable losses. Going
over past writings I find that almost 18 months have gone by since I last looked
into the main facet of the economy, the banking sector.
I'm willing to bet you haven't thought about how much fear was being
generated from 2008-2010 by the bank closings recently. In the swirl of the
scandals, the election and Superstorm Sandy, 2012 was quiet year on the banking
front because it was backburner news. But banks are back on the Rant's scope now
and should be on yours.
Would it shock you to know how many banks closed between Jan. 1, 2008
to now? Pick a number to see how close you can come before reading on. I'll give
you a few moments to collect your thoughts...Ready?
In that time frame, 68 and a half months, the number of banks in the United
States has gone from 8,534 to 6,926. That's 1,608 banks or more than 23 per
month and almost 270 per year that have been dropped. What's spooky is the
number of jumbo banks has dropped in almost equal proportion from 10 to 6 in the
same time span.
What this means is the banking sector, especially the community bank
which is the backbone of Main Streets across America, is still in deep trouble.
The financial problems that led to the 2008 meltdown are still in play but the
government is at work against the vital community bank even more than the
self-inflicted problems.
The Rant has repeatedly debunked the false economic numbers coming from
Washington. The economic situation crystallized when the Federal Reserve did not
announce the expected tapering of the $85 billion per month stimulus package
this past week. The Fed does know the true state of the economy, it just doesn't
want you to know. But the Fed couldn't begin the expected tapering move because
the overall economic numbers were so poor when adjusted for true inflation and
not the measly 1.7% it alone determined that the Rant was forced to look
squarely at the banks.
The unabated printing means bad news for America but great news for Wall
Street's concerns so the markets raced ahead to new highs because the traders
know their risky venture will still be backed by the government printing press
and necessary cash infusions when and where needed as things start
unraveling.
After the '08 meltdown, the government enacted all sorts of regulations for
the banking system but, as reported July 28, 2010 by the Rant, the Dodd-Frank
bill did not address the true problem within the banking sector and left in
place the derivatives swaps trades and didn't adjust the grade status of this
paper manipulation to reflect the true uncertainty of the asset. Only the big
boys were trying to hide the true scope of their liabilities by dealing in
derivatives but the strangling regulations missed them and hit at the heart of
the community bank.
Consider for a moment the number of government entities each bank is
accountable to. Banks must deal with the Office of the Comptroller of the
Currency, U.S. bank examiners, the Federal Reserve, the Federal Deposit
Insurance Corporation, state bank examiners and the newly-minted Consumer
Financial Protection Bureau. The big guys have enough staff to handle the
blizzard of paperwork and still do business as usual. The small bank drowns in
the paperwork.
The CFPB was established to make sure the banks were treating all customers
equal--particularly in loans. But the irony is the small banks were not guilty
of making shaky home loans in the first place. They shunned the leveraged
derivatives trade, carried no toxic securities and mostly held Grade A assets to
cover their depositors' funds. Because of their sterling record, they also
received no bailout money and are therefore less profitable than the
too-big-to-fail group. So the small bank loses on two fronts--from taxpayer
support and unnecessary red tape.
None of that is true for the big boys. The big guys also have expanded
their nefarious, dangerous derivatives holdings and the bank regulators--simply
because they are the megabanks--have looked the other way. "Nothing to see here
America, just move along." (Wink, wink.)
So Main Street languishes while Washington and Wall Street party
hearty.
Of the 1608 banks that have gone into the ranks of closed since 2008, about
500 were closed by regulators. The rest, trying to relieve the regulation
burden, found it simpler for all concerned to merge with bigger banks.
The pattern here is the same objective as Obamacare. There the goal is to
have the government own all insurance possibilities for health care. In banking
the goal is to have all banking concerns under the thumb of the Federal Reserve.
Go back to the megabanks. In 2008 the top ten banks controlled nearly 82%
of all bank assets. Then came the meltdown and the solace through bailout from
the government via the beneficence of the taxpayer. Now the remaining six hold
nearly 95% of all bank assets registered in the U.S.
This sounds bad but consider the true state of the financial sector since
1984. In 1984 the FDIC covered 17,780 registered institutions. Today's measly
6,926 means less than two of every five banks that existed 29 years ago are
still around.
This at a time when the government continues to harp about "expanding
choices for the consumer". Where is the expansion?
This inherent weakness within the economic system nearly six years after
the housing bubble popped, five years after the financial sector meltdown and
more than four years after the "recovery" officially began, clearly demonstrates
America has not taken the first step to recovery yet. Main Street is adapting
to lower expectations and the success of the markets has masked the warts on the
economic state of America. Big banks reek of decay that no amount of perfume
from Washington can completely cover.
It's that rotting face that Washington cannot afford to let see the light
of day. It's not that America has a declining clout status among the rest of the
world, showing the true state of economic weakness would deny the political
forces their base of manufactured opposition as well.
The political antics are hastening the day of the dollar's demise. Above
all, the political powers must hold onto the myth the dollar is the world's
benchmark currency. Without that myth, what happens to the control and power
they all covet?
"I have sworn on the altar of God eternal hostility
to every form of tyranny over the mind of man."--Thomas
Jefferson
Just a quick reminder that the Rant is still working
towards a profit-based status. As definitive results are achieved, you will be
informed on how to continue accessing the information contained in the Rant.
Thank you for your support.--Mike
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